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AnalysisIGIDRTuesday, 29 September 2026

IGIDR Publication:Inflation Targeting, Monetary Policy Surprises, and Capital Misallocation by Vaibhav Nainwal (CAFRAL), Rajeswari Sengupta (IGIDR), Vidhya Soundararajan (CAFRAL)

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Summary

NO : WP-2026-018 AUTHOR : Vaibhav Nainwal (CAFRAL), Rajeswari Sengupta (IGIDR) Vidhya Soundararajan (CAFRAL) TITLE : Inflation Targeting, Monetary Policy Surprises, and Capital Misallocation ABSTRACT : We examine whether a more predictable monetary policy framework improves the allocation of capital across firms. Using firm-level data from the Indian manufacturing sector […] Read More The post IGIDR Publication:Inflation Targeting, Monetary Policy Surprises, and Capital Misallocation by Vaibhav

Key Facts

TypeAnalysis
SourceIGIDR
PublishedTuesday, 29 September 2026
Affected Population1.4 billion citizens, 63 million MSMEs

Key Numbers

GDP: $3.9 trillion (2025 est.)
Fiscal deficit target: 4.4% of GDP
GST collection: Rs 1.87 lakh crore/month avg

Key Authorities

Ministry of FinanceRBISEBIDEA

Key Stakeholders

TaxpayersBanks & NBFCsInvestors

Government Context

NDA IIIBJP-led NDA
Centre-Right
LeftCentreRight

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